Cowboys Have Control of A MWC Tourney Bye
The Cowboys are coming off what was arguably their most complete game of the season -- a 78-68 win at Fresno State that keeps the Cowboys hopes of a first-round bye at the MWC tournament alive.
They, however, can't afford to relish that game too long.
The Cowboys are currently tied with San Diego State for fifth place, but if the Cowboys beat Air Force in their final home game on Wednesday and then win at Boise on Saturday they would hold the tiebreaker against San Diego State, even if San Diego State sweeps its final two games, at home against Boise on Tuesday and Nevada on Saturday.
The Cowboys split with Nevada and won it's first game against Boise at the AA, giving them a 2-1 record against the top two teams in the MWC. San Diego State, meanwhile, heads into the final two games facing those two teams after losing to both of them earlier in the season, putting the pressure on the Aztecs to sweep to keep alive it's hopes of a first-round bye.
If the tiebreaker comes down to the third-place team, and the Cowboys would have the edge against Fresno coming off Saturday's victory. San Diego State was 0-2 against the Bulldogs. Neither San Diego State (0-1) nor Wyoming (0-2) won a game against New Mexico. The Cowboys, however, have a higher RPI than the Lobos, which gives them the edge in that case.
The second round, however, will be a challenge, regardless of whether the Cowboys have a bye or not.
If the Cowboys wind up in the play-in round and beat No. 11 Air Force that would play No. 1 Nevada in the second round. If they finish fifth and avoid that first-round game they would face the No. 4 seed, which would be either Fresno State or New Mexico, currently tied for third place. The Cowboys did split with Fresno, but were swept in the two games by New Mexico this season.