Who's on the Managerial Hot Seat?
Buck Showalter is in his 20th season as a big-league manager, his ninth with the Orioles. He has guided the team to a winning record in six of his eight previous seasons, and into the post-season three times.
The Orioles' only post-season appearance since 2014, however, was in the wild-card game in 2016 when they lost to Toronto.
As solid as the resume may appear it's not enough for job security, as far as the betting world is concerned.
Showalter is the early season leader in terms of the odds of being the first MLB manager fired during the 2018 season, according to https://www.bovada.lv/. Showalter is a 3-to-2 favorite, just ahead of Bob Melvin of the A's and Bryan Price of the Reds, both of whom are listed as 3-to-1.
The seven most likely according to the odds from Bovada:
Showalter (3/2): Managed Yankees, D-Backs and Rangers before being hired by the Orioles. Career managerial record 1,505-1,407. Orioles are coming off a 75-87 season and lost five of first six games this season.
Melvin (3/1): In 15th year as a manager. In his eighth year with the A's after managing Seattle and Arizona. Guided A's to the post-season his first three full seasons in Oakland, but A's were eliminated in the first-round each time. A's finished last in the AL West the past three seasons.
Price (3/1): Fifth year with the Reds (277-375). Team has finished in last place last three seasons after a fourth-place finish his first year as the manager.
Mike Matheny, Cardinals (7/1): Has a winning record in six seasons since replacing Tony La Russa, advancing to the post-season three times, including winning the NL pennant in 2013. Cardinals, however, were eliminated by the Cubs in four games in the 2015 NL Division Series, and missed the post-seaosn the last two years.
Don Mattingly, Marlins (9/1): Despite winning three consecutive division titles with the Dodgers (2013-15) knew he wasn't appreciated by ownership and resigned to become manager of the Marlins. Back-to-back losing seasons his first two years in Miami, and now a new owernship group which has shown no loyalty to people hired by previous owners.
Gabe Kapler, Phillies (10/1): One of five first-year managers this season who had never managed at the big-league level before. Just five games into his tenure and already has fans raising eyebrows by decision-making. Phillies made some steep free-agent investments with additions of Carlos Santana (3 years, $60 million) and Jake Arrieta (3 years, $75 million) expecting to get out of NL East basement.
Mike Scioscia, Angels (10/1): In his 19th year on the job, and having taken the Angels to the post-season seven times, Scisocia finds himself under a microscope with an owner that wants to win another world championship, and a front office that wasn't involved in his hiring.